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medRxiv PreprintsInternational9 November 2026

Polygenic Prediction of Depression Liability Reveals Broad Genetic Associations Across Development, Families, and Populations

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Polygenic prediction of depression is limited by the depth of depression phenotyping available at biobank scale as well as sample size. Here we develop a depression score combining information from depression and genetically correlated psychiatric traits using phenotype reconstruction, multi-trait genetic integration and Bayesian effect estimation. Compared with the strongest publicly available depression-only score (Psychiatric Genomics Consortium 2025, excluding 23andMe), the liability-R2 for depression in UK Biobank rose by 49.7% and within-family standardized associations with latent inter
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