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medRxiv PreprintsInternational10 November 2026

Effect of starting metformin on severe and long COVID-19 among people living with type 2 diabetes in England: a new user cohort study in OpenSAFELY-TPP

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Introduction: Observational studies report lower COVID-19 mortality among metformin users, but most used prevalent-user designs comparing long-term survivors with heterogeneous controls. Randomised trials suggest little or no mortality effect. No large observational study has used a new-user design to estimate the effect of starting versus not starting metformin on severe and Long COVID outcomes in adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D). We aimed to estimate this effect on COVID-19-related hospitalisation or death, COVID-19 diagnoses, and Long COVID among adults with T2D in England. Research design
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