Cardiovascular hospital demand projections for Suriname up to 2050 with implications for health system planning

Abstract This study developed a data-driven decision-support framework to project annual hospital admissions and in-hospital mortality for ischemic heart disease (IHD) and cerebrovascular disease in Suriname from 2023 through 2050. Using retrospective discharge data from 2013-2022 across three major public hospitals--accounting for approximately 71.8% of national admissions--historical trends were analyzed using log-linear regression across six age groups. Population projections relied on the UN World Population Prospects 2024 Revision. Future admissions and deaths were modelled across five po

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