Quantifying the contribution of policy measures to COVID-19 dynamics across 126 countries

COVID-19 provides an unprecedented opportunity to evaluate the contribution of public health and social measures (PHSMs) to controlling transmission and inform responses to future emerging respiratory pathogens. We analysed SARS-CoV-2 transmission across 126 countries spanning multiple epidemic waves and diverse policy environments during periods when PHSMs were the primary interventions available to influence the epidemic. By explicitly representing key epidemiological drivers of transmission and measuring reductions in residual transmission scaling after incorporating OxCGRT policy time-seri

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