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medRxiv PreprintsInternational2 November 2026

Preceding organ trajectories guide dynamic reassessment after apparent stabilisation in sepsis

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Apparent organ recovery can conceal residual vulnerability in sepsis. Across 19,690 adults in four intensive care databases, we evaluated six-hour deterioration in low-severity organs after transition to single-organ dysfunction. At 2,492 eICU reassessment alerts, adding preceding organ trajectories increased capture from 219 to 282 episodes (28.8%; difference 63, 95% CI 38.0 to 93.5). Reassessment depended on the availability and updating of that history. Withholding half of record batches lost 108.3 captures; adaptation recovered approximately one third, and targeted retrieval increased time
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