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medRxiv PreprintsInternational9 October 2026

A Blood-Based Synaptic Biomarker in Neuronally-Enriched Extracellular Vesicles Predicts Disability Progression in Progressive Multiple Sclerosis

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Progressive multiple sclerosis (PMS) lacks blood-based biomarkers of the neurodegenerative processes driving disability. We measured synaptopodin, a postsynaptic protein, in neuronal-enriched extracellular vesicles (NEVs) across two independent cohorts: the SPRINT-MS trial (n=184) and a real-world validation cohort (n=268). A one SD increase in baseline synaptopodin was associated with ~32% lower risk of confirmed disability progression in PMS (p=0.011), with the strongest effect in secondary PMS (SPMS) (~57% lower odds, p=0.019). This SPMS association was replicated in the validation cohort (
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