medRxiv PreprintsInternational7 October 2026
Machine Learning Models Using Electronic Health Record Data to Predict Obstructive Sleep Apnea
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Rationale: Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is highly prevalent yet largely under-diagnosed. Current screening strategies rely on effortful questionnaires with modest accuracy, and prior machine learning models often require resource-intensive inputs and lack external validation. Objectives: To develop and validate machine learning models to predict OSA (apnea-hypopnea index [AHI4%][≥]5) and moderate-severe OSA (AHI4%[≥]15) using only routinely collected electronic health record (EHR) data, test cross-system transferability and compare performance with clinical screeners and a Bayesian risk
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