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medRxiv PreprintsInternational11 October 2026

Dynamic Risk Stratification for Short-Term Deterioration After Acute Stroke: Incremental Value of Radiology-Report-Derived Neuroimaging Phenotypes Beyond Dynamic ICU States, a retrospective cohort study with temporal validation

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Background. Prediction models after stroke increasingly add neuroimaging information to bedside data. Whether findings documented in radiology reports improve short term risk stratification beyond a patient's evolving physiological state is unknown. Methods. We studied 4,827 adults with acute ischaemic stroke, intracerebral haemorrhage or subarachnoid haemorrhage in MIMIC IV (2008 to 2019). At eight landmarks from 6 to 48 hours after ICU admission, models ranked patients by their risk of deterioration or death within 24 hours. The baseline model combined demographic and clinical characteristic
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