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medRxiv PreprintsInternational1 October 2026

Triangulating population, individual, and genetic evidence for priority setting in structurally heterogeneous blocs: metabolic risk factors for stroke in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation

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BACKGROUND: Regional stroke-prevention priorities usually rest on what a bloc's members share. Where members span multiple Global Burden of Disease (GBD) super-regions and genetic ancestry groups, population, individual, and genetic evidence face different transportability limits, and earlier combined studies did not prespecify what counts as disagreement. METHODS: We studied the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, which spans four super-regions and five ancestry groups and is land-contiguous. For five metabolic risk factors we triangulated GBD 2023 attributable fractions of stroke DALYs in ten
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