medRxiv PreprintsInternational2 October 2026
Large-scale modelling of β-thalassaemia carrier prevalence: geostatistical predictions and population estimates from a global evidence base
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Background Evidence on {beta}-thalassaemia carrier prevalence is fragmented across heterogeneous surveys and national summaries, leaving within-country variation and geographic concentration of carriers poorly resolved. This study characterises {beta}-thalassaemia carrier prevalence and carrier populations at high spatial resolution and identifies where additional data would most improve geographic coverage. Methods Using carrier-prevalence records curated through ITHANET, a global haemoglobinopathy resource, Bayesian geostatistical modelling generated high-resolution predictions across 25 cou
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