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medRxiv PreprintsInternational15 October 2026

inClinico Agent for clinical trial endpoint prediction and prospective evaluation

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High attrition rates across clinical drug development impose immense clinical and financial burdens, yet prospectively forecasting whether an individual trial will achieve its primary endpoint remains challenging. Here we present a machine-learning system that predicts clinical trial success across phases I-IV, independently modeling studies with efficacy versus safety/toxicity primary endpoints. To prevent lookahead bias and outcome leakage, models are trained on registration-time features, including target and mechanism-of-action precedent, drug modality and novelty, trial design and operati
— medRxiv Preprints
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